Vigil AnalyticsVIGIL ANALYTICS
CrisisFlowâ„¢ Posterior Probabilities

Stacked regime probabilities from the IO-HMM forward filter

Regime Amplification Index (RAI)

Proprietary signal combining P(Amplification), dealer gamma, and VIX

Validation Events

Historical stress events and CrisisFlow regime assignment

The Geopolitical Regime Monitor provides analytical output from a quantitative model trained on historical market data. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past regime behaviour does not guarantee future performance. All investment decisions should be made with appropriate professional guidance and in the context of individual circumstances.